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Scenario Edge
$5Starting price
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About Scenario Edge
Scenario Edge is an AI-powered web tool designed for scenario-based portfolio analysis, enabling investors to stress-test holdings under custom macroeconomic events. Users can add stocks, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies to their portfolios and simulate scenarios such as interest rate cuts, geopolitical shocks, or AI spending booms. The tool generates evidence-grounded, per-asset projections with direction and impact labels, sensitivity mapping, plain-English rationales, and confidence scores backed by source citations. It automates real-time evidence collection, classifies source quality, and computes probability-aware confidence and sensitivity metrics while penalizing extreme or volatile predictions. The outputs are explainable and traceable, supporting transparent decision-making for risk assessment and portfolio adjustments. Individual investors and portfolio managers use Scenario Edge to quickly identify which holdings are most exposed in specific scenarios and why, reducing the need for manual research and enabling more informed adjustments.
Key features
- Add stocks, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies to portfolios
- Run custom macroeconomic scenario simulations
- Generate per-asset projections with direction/impact labels
- Sensitivity mapping and plain-English rationales
- Confidence scores with source citations
- Automated real-time evidence collection
- Probability-aware confidence and sensitivity metrics
- Explainable and traceable AI outputs
- Penalizes extreme or volatile predictions
Use cases
- Stress-testing portfolios under hypothetical economic events
- Identifying high-exposure holdings for risk assessment
- Supporting transparent, evidence-based investment decisions
Pros
- Provides evidence-grounded, per-asset projections with direction and impact labels for scenario-based portfolio analysis
- Automates real-time evidence collection and classifies source quality into tiers (SEC filings, major outlets, general research)
- Includes transparent confidence scoring and sensitivity mapping to highlight most exposed holdings
- Supports stress-testing portfolios against custom macroeconomic events with adjustable assumptions
- Delivers explainable outputs with plain-English rationales and source citations for traceability
Cons
- May penalize extreme or volatile predictions, potentially reducing confidence in high-risk scenarios
- Relies on real-time data collection, which could introduce variability in projections based on source availability
Frequently asked questions about Scenario Edge
What is Scenario Edge and what does it do?
Scenario Edge is an AI-powered tool for scenario-based portfolio analysis that allows users to stress-test holdings against custom macroeconomic events. It generates evidence-backed projections, confidence scores, and per-asset impact analysis with plain-English rationales and source citations.
Who should use Scenario Edge?
The tool is designed for individual investors and portfolio managers who need to assess portfolio risk under specific scenarios, such as interest rate changes, geopolitical events, or sector-specific booms. It supports decision-making by identifying exposed holdings and providing transparent analysis.
How does Scenario Edge generate its projections?
The tool uses a multi-step pipeline that gathers real-time evidence from financial filings, government data, and major financial outlets. It then computes confidence scores, sensitivity ratings, and per-asset projections based on scenario-specific assumptions like inflation, rates, and growth.
What types of assets can I analyze with Scenario Edge?
Scenario Edge supports stocks, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies from major exchanges such as NASDAQ, LSE, ASX, and HKEX. Users can build portfolios with holdings from these exchanges and stress-test them against custom scenarios.
How does Scenario Edge ensure the reliability of its projections?
Projections are backed by a confidence model that evaluates evidence quality, scenario specificity, and asset class volatility. Extreme projections are penalized, and sensitivity ratings highlight the most affected holdings. All sources are classified into tiers, with Tier 1 sources (e.g., SEC filings) providing the strongest evidence.
How do I get started with Scenario Edge?
Users can begin by adding their holdings (stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies) to build a portfolio. They can then set a custom macroeconomic scenario by adjusting assumptions like interest rates, inflation, or growth, and review the projected impact on their holdings with detailed analysis.
